Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 48.690594 54.754006 61.075676 68.141077 75.799746 83.833398 92.879962
2024-10-13 39.332594 48.192945 58.004211 69.595594 82.835251 97.406579 114.574365
2024-10-20 33.669516 43.853545 55.615423 70.042985 87.097685 106.451884 129.905365
2024-10-27 28.309170 39.039032 51.920966 68.263957 88.173386 111.369967 140.154755
2024-11-03 26.155572 37.775649 52.164822 70.907136 94.272643 122.041617 157.113249
2024-11-10 23.864115 36.036458 51.560397 72.284824 98.675914 130.610577 171.586014
2024-11-17 21.367926 33.747722 50.006283 72.240287 101.138624 136.710823 183.036923
2024-11-24 20.228566 33.168547 50.579884 74.861092 106.942237 146.972014 199.715463
2024-12-01 18.281914 31.260919 49.200049 74.757278 109.126237 152.635629 210.675396
2024-12-08 16.301493 29.113352 47.315554 73.812151 110.076535 156.644160 219.515928
2024-12-15 14.841244 27.603727 46.202415 73.811522 112.199880 162.123035 230.244283
2024-12-22 13.539182 26.215238 45.153667 73.803736 114.244314 167.469752 240.824013
2024-12-29 13.064827 26.135664 46.058467 76.653083 120.352389 178.405480 259.032040
2025-01-05 12.130954 25.226165 45.661336 77.594302 123.830280 185.910594 272.887699
2025-01-12 11.207775 24.241977 45.068754 78.180938 126.769206 192.687677 285.827088
2025-01-19 9.821508 22.313585 42.865211 76.233612 125.990576 194.333520 291.870554
2025-01-26 9.565695 22.382963 43.838204 79.105390 132.186264 205.615385 311.014155
2025-02-02 9.054681 21.932749 43.928391 80.599689 136.384373 214.179461 326.571014
2025-02-09 8.298642 20.945137 43.063369 80.551441 138.282209 219.538812 337.800738
2025-02-16 8.111168 21.044324 44.022964 83.393265 144.509389 231.047887 357.598365
2025-02-23 7.440307 20.114094 43.161945 83.280735 146.285385 236.272318 368.768696
2025-03-02 6.685980 18.930871 41.782340 82.256107 146.624714 239.421306 377.061531
2025-03-09 6.148269 18.146287 41.056434 82.255425 148.497484 244.764985 388.454340